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Chapter 6 - The Battle of Red Cliffs: Did Cao Cao Set the fire Himself?

The Southeast Wind Rises: A Sea of Fire Ignited by the Illusion of Certain Victory

In the winter of the 13th year of Jian'an, an unusual southeast wind blew across the Chibi section of the Yangtze River. As Huang Gai led ten boats loaded with dry grass downstream, the Cao army camp burst into cheers. The soldiers thought this veteran general of Eastern Wu was coming to surrender, unaware that death was racing toward them on the wind.

When the fleet was two li from the Cao navy stronghold, all ten ships were set ablaze at once. The southeast wind instantly turned the flames into a crimson dragon, and Cao Cao's linked warships became a sea of fire in an instant. The Wulin camp on the northern bank was soon engulfed too. The shores of Yunmeng Marsh filled with the stench of burning flesh. The cheering soldiers either burned to death or drowned in the river, and the surface was littered with crackling wreckage.

On the Huarong Path: The Warlord's Pride and a Shattered Dream of Unification

Cao Cao galloped through the muddy Huarong Path, glancing back at the towering fire rising again from the river — the remaining ships and supplies he had ordered burned.

"Better turn to ashes than leave a single plank for Zhou Yu!"

Once the powerful minister who "held the Son of Heaven to command the lords," he now looked like a stray dog in defeat. His lifelong dream of unifying the realm was completely shattered in the fire, and he had unwittingly forged the Three Kingdoms standoff. Sun Quan had once mocked his "hunt in Wu"; now Cao Cao became the laughingstock of the world, his pride trampled into the mud of Huarong.

Counterattack in Desperation: The Statesman's Schemes and Three Lines of Deployment

Though defeated, Cao Cao did not collapse. He showed his true colors as a hero. After retreating to Nan Commandery, he immediately arranged for Cao Ren to defend Jiangling and Xu Huang to garrison Fancheng, using his remaining troops to build a defensive line against the Sun-Liu pursuit. Even at his lowest ebb, he launched a three-pronged counterattack:

Military defense: A strategic buffer using the remaining forces in Jing Province. Political division: He formally recommended Zhou Yu as Administrator of Nan Commandery, hinting that his achievements threatened his lord. Public opinion warfare: He wrote to Sun Quan, claiming "the defeat at Chibi was due to plague; I burned my own ships and retreated. Zhou Yu falsely won an empty reputation." Exploiting Sun Quan's suspicious nature, he sought to break the Sun-Liu alliance.

Weeping in Huarong: The Warlord's Vulnerability and the Cage of Cognition

By the lamplight in Nan Commandery, this "master of darkness" rarely showed vulnerability.

"If Fengxiao were here, how could I have suffered such a defeat!"

Cao Cao's bitter weeping was not only for Guo Jia but also a backlash against his past successes. The glory of the Battle of Guandu had trapped him in an "illusion of certain victory," making him ignore the advice of Jia Xu and other counselors. In the end, the fire on the Yangtze burned down his cognitive cage.

As the saying goes: "Past success is the easiest cage for cognition. There are no eternal friends, only dynamic balances of interest."

Historical Aftermath: The Hidden Struggles of the Three Kingdoms After Chibi

The Battle of Chibi tore open the rift in the Sun-Liu alliance. Zhou Yu fought bitterly against Cao Ren at Jiangling (and was later seriously wounded by an arrow), while Liu Bei took the opportunity to seize the four southern commanderies of Jing.

The seeds of division sown by Cao Cao began to sprout. The bloody fight over the ownership of Jing Province was about to ignite an even more intense struggle among the Three Kingdoms.

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